German Open 2024, Krusevo July 15th Soaring Weather forecast

 

Summary

• Less humidity and less clouds than Sunday, appearing after 13.00 from the west
• High winds increase and turns direction from NW to NE
• Some faint clouds expected in the valley after 15.00
• 6000m top clouds 40km in the west late in the afternoon
• Some light turbulence expected in the level of 2000m above which north winds increase and thermals accelerate

Details of the Day

Barometer is stable comparing to Sunday

Min Temperature at 26 (increased by 1 degree)

Max Temperature 38 

Range of temperatures is 12C, meaning unstable conditions and thin inversion levels

Dewpoint at 6,5 C in the valley 

Humidity drops

The combination of parameters shows increase air kinetic energy in the air mass supporting an increase of wind in the low level and potentially strong thermals close to the ground

Cloud base expected 3500+ with many blue thermals in the east and south of the valley and most of the clouds above high ground in the west and in the north

Some thin clouds expected in the middle of the valley after 15.30h

Coverage is high in the west area but less than 10% in the east

Inversion levels 700m, 2000m and 3100m

Thermals expected +3m/s < 1000m , +4m/s> 1000m, +4,5 between 1400m and 2500m

Ideal thermal zone 1400-2500m

Winds

Gusts 27+ kph at 15.00h

0m NE 15 (small increase +3kph)

600m NE 15kph

1200m NE 17kph

1800m NE 17kph

2400m NE 18kph

3000m NNE 20kph

3600m NE 19kph

Soaring day starting at 11.00

Day declines after 18.00

Peak of the day between 13.00-18.00

Duration of day 3,5h

expected average XC speed 32kph 

Potential task 100km