Algodonales PWC weather forecast May 16th 2025

  

Summary

Comparing this day with yesterday, we expect the high strong north winds to slow down, move higher and turn to North West above 3.000m. Their impact into the boundary layer will be less effective than yesterday. 

This change will let thermals organize better than yesterday at all altitudes, reaching +5m/s at 1900m.

The barometer will drop -3mb meaning that the turbulence will be less, thermals will be smoother and inversions will not be so strong like yesterday and easier to be broken by strong thermals. 

Humidity will increase and there will be more clouds in the area than yesterday. 

Initially there will be some Ci layer clouds that will appear from the Soutwest after 12.00 and move to the east. They will cover Algodonales area around 13.00. This will delay the Cu clouds that will start appearing at 14.00 and spread around at 15.00h. There will be more clouds around the lake area and in the east of the take off. Some Conjestus clouds are expected to develop after 17.00 in the south of the lake area, creating some shadow in the area. The peak of these clouds will be at 17.30.

The lower winds will be from the north 12-14kph. Above 1800 m there will be a layer of east wind up to the cloud tops. Above 3Km the wind will be from the NNW.

Thermals will be better in the zone 1100-2000m representing the faster XC Speed area. Above or below this zone it will be a waist of time. 

Details

Barometer -3mb drop

Temperatures Max=25 (warmer than yesterday), min =12 (warmer than yesterday) DT=13C assuming a high temperature contrast on the ground and good trigger conditions for thermals comparing to the previous day.

Dewpoint increases from 4,5 to 6 C in the take off area, but in the west it will be 10,5 and in the east 5,5C. this means that the cloud base will have a variation, from 2200m in the west, 2600m above take off and 2700m + in the east. 

Cloud coverage expected 20% in the area and 30-40% in the east

Inversion levels: 1750m, 2900m. A wind shear level is expected at 2100

Thermals +2m/s at 500m, +2,8m/s at 650m, 3,3m/s at 900m, +4m/s at 1300m, max +5m/s at 1900m and average thermal at peak period = 2,75m/s

winds

Gust 26kph like yesterday

Ground level North 12kph

600m North 14kph

1200m North 12kph

1800m East 12kph

2400m East 10kph

3000m North 14kph

3600m NW 45kph

The thermal conditions will start at 11.00h but with some shadow from the Ci clouds and the conditions will drop after 18.00h

The peak period for the task between 12.30h and 17.30h

The peak of the day at 14.00h

Rain% =1% SW of the lake after 17.00h

Potential XC Speed at 33kph+

Potential task 100km