36th British & Duch Championship, Krusevo 2025, Weather Forecast 16th July

Summary of the Day forecast - Forecast Changed Overnight

A local high is established in the Balkan area, and no frontal zone is expected for today.

Initially some Cu clouds will develop to the NW at 12.00.

At 13.00 some spread out is expected to the NW with coverage up to 80% while in Krusevo and the east valley, we expect some nice Cu with 20% coverage.

Later in the day in the west we will maintain 80% coverage in cycles, including almost 100% coverage west of Bitola.

The east valley will reach 50% at 16.00.

In the beginning cloud base will be around 2750m, later will increase in the valley to 3333 in the North and 3300 in the south.

Thermals will reach not more Tham 2300m , but later in the day this will increase to 2700m

Light ENE winds <10kph are expected in the valley up to 2200m.

Above 2200m we have NW winds up to 15 Kph at all altitudes above this level.

The day will start organizing thermals at 12.00, the peak between 14.00 and 18.00.

The conditions in the valley will delay to start, but the thermal day will keep improving up to 18.00, then conditions will decline, giving a 4h good thermal period for a decent task.

Rain is not expected in the area.

 

More Details

Barometer & trend: 1003mb

Temperature range DT: 19-32 = 13C suggesting good triggering of thermals to the ground

Dewpoint / time: 9,5 C in the South and 10,5 C in the NW of the Valley 

Humidity: at 22% below inversions

Cloud base: Initially 2750m to the NW later will increase to 3000m and to the South 3300m

Cloud top: Up to 4500m for bigger Cu, mainly to the west of Krusevo and Bitola area. In the east +650m from cloud base

Cloud types: Cu, Cu Congestus to the west horizon, Spread-out above high terrain

Cloud coverage: up to 80% west and up to 50% east 

Average Thermal: +2 m/s in the north valley and +3 m/s at 15.00

Peak Thermal at Altitude: +3/1000m, +4m/s at 1300m, +4,5 at 1500m, +5 at 2000m. 

Top of Thermals: 2300-2750m. initially most thermals will stop at 2000m, later after 15.00 higher up to cloud base

Best Thermal Zone: 1300-2200m 

Inversion: at 2000m later 2300m

Wind Gust: 22 kph on surface at 15.00

Ground wind: ESE<10 kph

600m: ESE<10 kph

1200m: ESE<10 kph

1800m: ESE<10 kph

2400m: NW 15 kph

3000m: NW 15 kph

3600m: NW 15 kph

Day starts organizing thermals at 12.00h 

Conditions start declining after 18.00h  

Best conditions Period 14.00-18.00h 

Peak thermal conditions at 15.00h

Task duration 4 h 

Calculated XC speed 30 kph 

Potential Day XC distance 120km

Ideal task 90 km

Rain possibility 0%

Skew-T at 15.00